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February 7 COVID data update

BY JENNIFER CABRERA

[Editor’s note: This information is provided to put the COVID-19 data in context and show trends. We are presenting the data as reported by Florida Department of Health with the understanding that the data is messy, and each day’s update changes multiple previous days. We believe that individuals should have access to as much information as possible so they can make decisions about their risks; you can find our opinions about government actions in the COVID-19 category on the site.]

According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 51 positive COVID-19 tests today, with an official test positivity rate of 5.21% on a day with a low number of test results. 2 new deaths were reported, and one was removed.

The new deaths:

  • 86-year-old female who didn’t visit an emergency room and wasn’t hospitalized; tested positive December 24; the “event date” (earliest COVID-related event) was May 27, 2020
  • 55-year-old female who visited an emergency room and was hospitalized; tested positive October 15; the “event date” (earliest COVID-related event) was April 21, 2020

The death that was removed was a 56-year-old female who tested positive on October 15.

One of the deaths was in long-term care

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Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 5 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 183 deaths have been reported in the county, 56 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 increased slightly from 103 to 106. This is down from a peak of 256 on January 13.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations increased slightly from 5,377 to 5,382 today. This is down from a peak of 7,763 on January 13.

The state reported 6,624 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 6.82%) and a net increase of 97 deaths, 19 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in deaths were reported on 37 different dates, going back to August 26.

Changes in the number of deaths by month: August (+1), Sept (+2), November (+2), December (+5-1), January (+74), February (+14)

The first-wave peak was on August 4 (240), and the 7-day moving average peak was August 5 (227). The second-wave peak so far is January 6 (176); the 7-day moving average peak is January 15 (166). These are expected to keep changing.

This chart uses different colors to show how the reported deaths stack up by date:

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), showing the trend over the past 14 days.

This chart shows the trend in positivity rate for Alachua County.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day, which gives an idea of the volume of testing:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 98.6 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days:

The state has vaccinated a total of 1,993,966 people (667,830 have received the complete series). Vaccines were administered first to healthcare and front-line workers, with vaccines being rolled out to people 65 and older now.

Here is the age distribution for the state, with gray bars showing yesterday’s vaccinations and the green bars showing cumulative vaccinations.

Alachua County has vaccinated a total of 38,955 people, almost 14.5% of the population (16,522, over 6% of the population, have received the complete series). Here is the age distribution for the county, with gray bars showing yesterday’s vaccinations and the green bars showing cumulative vaccinations.

This is a comparison of the age distributions of state and county vaccinations.

  • It is so hard to interpret what is going on with the limited amount of information that is provided to you.
    You provide us plenty of information, but the data from the medical examiner or the Department of Health is sorely lacking, and makes it very difficult to really understand what is going on…

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