June 25 update: 56 new positive tests, 2 new hospitalizations


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County has a cumulative total of 863 people with COVID-19-positive test results, an increase of 56 from yesterday on 970 test results for a test positivity rate of 5.8%. The median age of positive tests (overall) in Alachua County is still 31, down from 47 a few weeks ago.

This graph is for Alachua County:

This is the age distribution of cases in Alachua County.

Paul Myers from the Department of Health said the important thing is that the new cases have not led to a significant increase in hospitalizations. He said Tuesday at the Alachua County Commission meeting that some of those who are testing positive may have been sick weeks ago: “We cannot differentiate between current infection with this test and, basically, a person who is continuing to excrete viral debris, which is not infectious. This test is very sensitive but not very specific, in that regard.”

A total of eleven deaths have been reported in the county. Nine of the deaths were reportedly from one long-term care facility, Parklands Care Center. The 11 deaths were first reported as positive cases on April 9 (4), April 18 (2), April 20, April 21, April 23, May 10, and May 12.

92 people (total) have been hospitalized, an increase of 2 since yesterday. Note that hospitalizations are not necessarily people who seek care for COVID; everyone who is admitted to the hospital for any reason is now tested. The Alachua County Health Department typically reports a higher number that includes non-residents, which are not shown on the dashboard.

The website with current numbers of long-term care cases in Alachua County shows 75 cases, up 3 from the last report. Tacachale is reporting its first case. 58 of the cases are from Parklands Care Center. The chart says, “The data is not cumulative but reflects the information available for current residents and staff with cases as of yesterday’s date.” (The top line shows totals for the state.)

The county report shows a cumulative total of 74 cases in long-term care (no change from yesterday) and 2 cases in a correctional facility (I’ve been told that both of these are related to correctional facilities in other counties).

Available bed capacity in Alachua County is 14.43%. You may have seen stories about hospital capacity around the state, tying the increased number of patients to COVID. The truth is that the increased number of patients is from elective procedures that were delayed during the pandemic.

The state has 114,014 cases (an increase of 5,000 from yesterday on 52,372 new test results for a positive rate of 9.5%) and 3,327 deaths (an increase of 46 from yesterday, 24 of which were from long-term care facilities).

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and yesterday’s positive rate was 8.72%. (The state charts only count people who test positive for the first time, and they may assign results to a different date than the day the test result came back. Our calculations are just positives/total tests for new results.)

Dade County has 25% of the state’s cases. Broward has 11%; Palm Beach 10%; Hillsborough has 6%; Orange has 6%, and Lee has 4%. Alachua County represents about 1.2% of the state’s population and 0.76% of the state’s cases.

37,344 test results have come back so far in Alachua County (up 970 from yesterday), and 36,472 tests have come back negative. Only 2.3% of the local tests have come back positive so far, and 56 tests came back positive since yesterday’s report, for a positive test rate of 5.8%.

The University of Florida is reporting 19 positive tests out of 15,488 employees tested since May 6. This is a positive rate of 0.12%; it is unclear whether these negative test results are included in the overall numbers for Alachua County (positive test results are required to be reported). If they’re not included, the overall positivity rate for Alachua County (assuming these employees are Alachua County residents) drops to 1.6%. We are trying to get more information about this but have not received a response from UF.

Here is the official graph for Alachua County:

Also, here is the graph for the percentage of emergency department visits for cough, fever, and shortness of breath (normal baseline is around 2%):

According to the daily report, there are 711 cases in Gainesville, 35 in Newberry, 34 in Alachua, 19 in High Springs, 9 in Hawthorne, 9 in Archer, 7 in Waldo, 5 in Micanopy, 4 in Tioga, 2 in Santa Fe, and 1 in LaCrosse. 4 cases are listed in the city of “Missing” in Alachua County. Location data is not available for all cases.

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 39.7 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days.

Cases by zip code

I’m not going to type out the cases by zip code any more. If you’re interested, you can find them on the “Cases by Zip Code” tab of the dashboard.

Testing information

Drive-Thru COVID-19 Testing
The Florida Department of Health in Alachua County (DOH-Alachua) is offering drive-thru COVID-19 testing on Wednesdays from 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. and 4:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m. and Fridays from 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. DOH-Alachua is offering COVID-19 testing to Alachua County residents, regardless of symptoms. Residents who want a COVID-19 test are asked to call 352-334-8810 for an appointment. A referral from a doctor is not required. If your insurance covers this, it will be billed (no copay is required). If not, it is free.

COVID-19 Testing Results Phone Line
The Department of Health in Alachua County has set up a dedicated line for residents to call for COVID-19 test results. The phone number is 352-334-8828, and it is staffed Monday through Friday, from 8 a.m.-4:30 p.m.

  • It’s far more profitable to test people who will never get sick than focus on protecting the tiny number of vulnerable with comorbid conditions and immune suppression. — In fact, this vulnerable group already knows who they are and should already be self-quarantined against the > 97.5% who will predictably test positive with full recovery. — Using this strategy, VP Pence would have a much easier time of defending huge crowds at Trump campaign rallies.

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