November 17 update: 47 new positive tests, one death


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 47 positive COVID-19 tests, with an official test positivity rate of 4.23%. One new death was reported.

The death was a 73-year-old male who has “UNKNOWN” in the emergency room field but was hospitalized. He tested positive on October 13. He was not in long-term care.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 10 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 88 deaths have been reported in the county, 34 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 increased from 83 to 89.

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State COVID-19 hospitalizations increased to 3,369 today.

The state reported 7,459 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 8.64%) and a net increase of 85 deaths, 29 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 24 different dates, going back to July 20. Changes by month: July (+1), October (+10), November (+74)

The peaks are on July 30 (235) and August 4 (237), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (225).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 8.64%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 4.23%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 70.3 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days: