November 19 update: 119 new positive tests, no deaths


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 119 positive COVID-19 tests with an official test positivity rate of 4.93%. No new deaths were reported.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 13 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 91 deaths have been reported in the county, 34 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 increased from 81 to 88.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations increased slightly to 3,383 today.

The state reported 9,002 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 7.58%) and a net increase of 79 deaths, 17 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 34 different dates, going back to July 12. Changes by month: July (+2), August (+4), September (+9), October (+9-2), November (+58-1)

The peaks are on July 30 (235) and August 4 (237), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (225).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 7.58%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 4.93%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 80 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days: