November 21 update: 96 new positive tests, no deaths


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 96 positive COVID-19 tests with an official test positivity rate of 2.96%. No new deaths were reported.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 9 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 92 deaths have been reported in the county, 34 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 decreased from 91 to 86.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations decreased to 3,396 today.

The state reported 8,410 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 6.79%) and a net increase of 41 deaths, 8 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 33 different dates, going back to July 28. Changes by month: July (+2), August (+1), September (+3-2), October (+7-3), November (+34-1)

The peaks are on July 30 (235) and August 4 (237), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (225).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 6.79%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 2.96%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 89.7 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days: