October 17 update: 105 new positive tests, 1 death


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 105 positive COVID-19 tests, with an official test positivity rate of 4.72%. One new death was reported.

The new death is a 70-year-old male who tested positive on August 27 and was in long-term care.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 12 were 65 or older, and 56 (56%) were college-aged.

A total of 71 deaths have been reported in the county, 31 of which were in long-term care. Paul Myers told the county commission last Tuesday that they’ve determined two of our deaths were non-Florida residents, so they will be removed from the total, but that hasn’t happened yet. Myers told the county commission this week that none of the recently-reported deaths actually occurred in the past 2 weeks.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 decreased from 60 to 57.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations decreased to 2,039 today, only 2 over the record low since the peak in July.

The state reported 4,044 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 5.21%) and a net increase of 87 deaths, 39 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 47 different dates, going back to June 15. Changes by month: June (+1), July (+3); August (+18); September (+36-1); October (+32-2). 17 were from Miami-Dade County.

The peaks are on July 30 (234) and August 4 (236), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (224).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 5.21%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 4.72%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 78.9 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days: