October 19 update: 44 new positive tests, 2 deaths


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 44 positive COVID-19 tests, with an official test positivity rate of 5.54%. Two new deaths were reported.

The new deaths are an 88-year-old female who tested positive on September 26 and an 89-year-old male who tested positive on August 14 and was never hospitalized. One of them was in long-term care.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, one was 65 or older, and 17 (65%) were college-aged.

A total of 73 deaths have been reported in the county, 32 of which were in long-term care. Paul Myers told the county commission last Tuesday that they’ve determined two of our deaths were non-Florida residents, so they will be removed from the total, but that hasn’t happened yet.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 increased from 57 to 60.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations increased to 2,057 today.

The state reported 1,707 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 4.86%) and a net increase of 54 deaths, 21 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 34 different dates, going back to July 11. Changes by month: July (-1); August (+20); September (+12); October (+24).

The peaks are on July 30 (234) and August 4 (236), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (224).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 4.86%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 5.54%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 71.1 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days: