Saive: The Mortality Rate is the Gold Standard For Making Covid-19 Public Policy


The opinions expressed by letter or opinion writers are their own and do not necessarily represent the views of AlachuaChronicle.com.


Regardless of the increase in positive PCR testing results the Covid-19 (SARS-CoV-2) virus mortality rate in Florida has been steadily dropping since the beginning of May.  See the Report

One reason for social panic is the sharp increase in the number of tests, which presents a false impression that a dangerous disease is spreading, while the actual data proves that the fatality rate for SARS-CoV-2 has been declining in Florida since the beginning of May.

Positive test results, without symptoms, are evidence the virus is too weak to cause symptoms in almost all healthy adults with normal immune systems.   Increased skill in medical management plus availability of drugs like Hydroxychloroquine that show promise in treating symptomatic patients with an oral medication to prevent the need for hospitalization is another. In short – the evidence shows the SARS-CoV-2 virus has run its course as a deadly virus, similar to a more familiar RNA virus called the “seasonal Flu.”

The recent PCR testing scandal is evidence the tests and reporting methods are inflated and flawed. The public is rightfully losing trust in PCR testing and failure of oversight by the State. See the WCJB story where multiple labs were allegedly told not to report negative tests.

The inventor of the PCR method, the late Dr. Kary Mullis, PhD, intended his polymerase chain reaction method (PCR) to be used as a laboratory research tool. Mullis was a PhD, not a medical doctor. He never intended his PCR method to be used to diagnose diseases. 

Kary Mullis wrote, on May 7, 2013:  “PCR detects a very small segment of the nucleic acid which is part of a virus itself. The specific fragment detected is determined by the somewhat arbitrary choice of DNA primers used which become the ends of the amplified fragment.“

The PCR chain reaction method of multiple amplifications of a viral “fragment” does not constitute an “infection,” therefore does not qualify as a medical diagnosis, inappropriately referred to as a “case.” 

David Rasnick, PhD, a bio-chemist, protease developer, and founder of “Viral Forensics” said:   

“You have to have a whopping amount of any organism to cause symptoms. Huge amounts of it … You don’t start with testing; you start with listening to the lungs. I’m skeptical that a PCR test is ever true. It’s a great scientific research tool. It’s a horrible tool for clinical medicine. 30% of your infected cells have been killed before you show symptoms. By the time you show symptoms…the dead cells are generating the symptoms.”

It’s important to note that the SARS-CoV-2 virus has never been isolated as the causative infectious agent under the “gold standard” of scientific rigors called “Koch’s Postulates.” This means the PCR test is not necessarily testing for the causative agent identified as “SARS-CoV-2”. (!)

In a recent interview, Assoc. Prof.  Sanjaya Senanayake from A.N.U.  had to admit the accuracy of the current PCR test for “SARS-CoV-2”  is hard to know because “there is no gold standard.” Translated, this means the virus was never isolated under the scientific rigors of Koch’s Postulates. (Video)  

Dr. Andrew Kaufman examines studies that allege to prove SARS-CoV-2 as causative agent:  Koch’s Postulates… Have They Been Proven For Viruses?

Even months after the declared global emergency, no scientific paper has yet been published using Koch’s Postulates to prove SARS-CoV-2 is the actual causative agent for the alleged pandemic.

Opportunity for Science Fraud:

Finally, the PCR test can be manipulated to produce negative tests by minimizing the number of chain reaction amplification cycles. The test can also be manipulated to show false positives by increasing the number of chain reaction amplification cycles. This type of manipulation can easily create the perception of “second wave” or a spike in positive tests.    

The inventor himself, Kary Mullis, pointed to the problem in his PCR Handbook.   

“If you have to go more than 40 cycles to amplify a single-copy gene, there is something seriously wrong with your PCR.”  Source : PCR Handbook  

Clear-headed thinking with a focus on the mortality rate will provide the most informed basis for establishing public policy.  Both the City of Gainesville and Alachua County BOCC should heed the advice of Dr. Paul Myers before making destructive mandates that make economic and social survival unfairly difficult in the black and Hispanic populations in our community.


  • False positives:  The widespread use of PCR in clinical settings has been hampered largely by background contamination from exogenous sources of DNA.105 In most pathogen-specific assays, the predominant source of contamination is derived from “carryover” products from earlier PCR reactions, which can be harbored and transmitted through PCR reagents, tubes, pipettes, and laboratory surfaces. Coupled with the robust amplification power of PCR, even very minor amounts of carry-over contamination may serve as substrates for amplification and lead to false-positive results. Meticulous control measures such as good laboratory practices and physical separation of preamplification and postamplification areas can reduce contamination risks but are not foolproof. The use of enzymatic inactivation of carry-over DNA (ie, uracil N-glycosylase) can further reduce contamination risk. 
  • Koch’s Postulates:
  • PCR Handbook
  • Hydroxychloroquine: COVID-19 Outpatients – Early Risk-Stratified Treatment with Zinc Plus Low Dose Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin: A Retrospective Case Series Study – Martin Scholz * , Roland Derwand , Vladimir Zelenko
  • Dr. Andrew Kaufman examines studies that allege to prove SARS-CoV-2 as causative agent:  Koch’s Postulates… Have They Been Proven For Viruses?
  • Assoc. Prof.  Sanjaya Senanayake from A.N.U Interview