June 10 update: 8 new positive tests; 1.8% of tests are positive

BY JENNIFER CABRERA

According to the stateĀ dashboard, Alachua County has a cumulative total of 412 people with COVID-19-positive test results, an increase of 8 from yesterday on 449 test results, for a positive test rate of 1.8%.

Eight deaths have been reported in the county. Seven of the eight deaths were reportedly from one long-term care facility, Parklands Care Center. The 8 deaths were first reported as positive cases on April 9 (3), April 18 (2), April 20, April 21, and April 23.

80 people (total) have been hospitalized, no increase from yesterday. The Alachua County Health Department typically reports a higher number that includes non-residents, which are not shown on the dashboard.

TheĀ websiteĀ with current numbers of long-term care cases in Alachua County hasn’t been updated yet today; yesterday it showed 74 cases in these facilities. 58 of the cases are from Parklands Care Center. The chart says, ā€œThe data is not cumulative but reflects the information available for current residents and staff with cases as of yesterday’s date.ā€ (The top line shows totals for the state.)

TheĀ county reportĀ shows a cumulative total of 69 cases in long-term care (same as the last report) and 2 cases in a correctional facility (I’ve been told that both of these are related to correctional facilities in other counties).

Available bed capacityĀ in Alachua County is 32.3%.

The state has 67,371 cases (an increase of 1,371 from yesterday on 20,720 new test results for a positive rate of 6.6%) and 2,801 deaths (an increase of 36 from yesterday, 21 of which were from long-term care facilities).

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and yesterday’s positive rate was 5.53%. (The state charts only count people who test positive for the first time, and they may assign results to a different date than the day the test result came back. Our calculations are just positives/total tests for new results.)

Dade County has 30% of the state’s cases. Broward has 12%; Palm Beach 12%; Hillsborough has 5%; Orange has 4%, and Lee has 4%. Alachua County represents about 1.2% of the state’s population and 0.61% of the state’s cases.

27,126 test results have come back so far in Alachua County (up 449 from yesterday), and 26,707 tests have come back negative. Only 1.5% of the local tests have come back positive so far, and 8 tests came back positive since yesterday’s report, for a positive test rate of 1.8%.

Here is the official graph for Alachua County:

Also, here is the graph for the percentage of emergency department visits for cough, fever, and shortness of breath (normal baseline is around 2%):

According to theĀ daily report,Ā there are 319 cases in Gainesville, 20 in Newberry, 19 in Alachua, , 8 in Hawthorne, 8 in High Springs, 4 in Waldo, 4 in Tioga, 4 in Micanopy, 3 in Archer, 1 in LaCrosse, and 1 in Santa Fe. 1 case is listed in the city of ā€œMissingā€ in Alachua County. Location data is not available for all cases.

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 3.7 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days. Note that when the average is around 2-4 new cases per day, as it is now (the 7-day moving average has not been over 4 since May 13 and has not been over 5 since April 26), it’s unlikely that we’ll see sustained declines from that number, particularly when we’re doing a lot of testing, as we have been.

Also, we are learning more about the prevalence of false positives in COVID-19 PCR testing;Ā this paperĀ (not yet peer-reviewed) calculates a conservative false positive rate (FPR) of 0.8% and states ā€œThe reliability of positive results dropped to near zero in these cases when test positivity approached the estimated FPR.ā€ Our test positivity (see bar chart above) has hovered in the 1% range.

Cases by zip code

I’m not going to type out the cases by zip code any more. If you’re interested, you can find them on the ā€œCases by Zip Codeā€ tab of the dashboard.

Testing information

Drive-Thru COVID-19 Testing
The Florida Department of Health in Alachua County (DOH-Alachua) is offering evening drive-thru COVID-19 testing on Wednesdays, from 4-7 p.m. This is in addition to their regular testing schedule. DOH-Alachua is offering COVID-19 testing to Alachua County residents, regardless of symptoms. Residents who want a COVID-19 test are asked to call 352-334-8810 for an appointment. A referral from a doctor is not required. If your insurance covers this, it will be billed (no copay is required). If not, it is free.

COVID-19 Testing Results Phone Line
The Department of Health in Alachua County has set up a dedicated line for residents to call for COVID-19 test results. The phone number is 352-334-8828, and it is staffed Monday through Friday, from 8 a.m.-4:30 p.m.

  • Congrats on reporting positive test results instead of the media scare tactic of reporting them as “cases”. We should all know by now that positive test results are more a measure of immunity of individuals and “herd immunity” among a healthy population. A sharp increase in positive tests results as more tests are administered is good news, but the media will report them as a reason to fear a so-called “second wave” . — One of the reasons to expect more hospital admissions is due to the upcoming Flu shot schedule in the Fall. — Using the CDC’s own numbers the CV-19 death rate is at 0.29% (and dropping) while the Flu shot death rate holds steady at 0.6%. — According to the technocracy deep state clowns the Flu shot is reason enough to call for a lockdown….sounds funny? ..don’t laugh…they already convinced you to wear a mask that could increase your chances of contracting some type of coronavirus or pneumonia. https://justpaste.it/65k6c

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