March 3 COVID data update


[Editor’s note: This information is provided to put the COVID-19 data in context and show trends. We are presenting the data as reported by Florida Department of Health with the understanding that the data is messy, and each day’s update changes multiple previous days. We believe that individuals should have access to as much information as possible so they can make decisions about their risks; you can find our opinions about government actions in the COVID-19 category on the site.]

According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 46 positive COVID-19 tests today (including 1 added to November) with an official test positivity rate of 1.98%. The 7-day average positivity rate is 1.78%. No new deaths were reported.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, 4 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 235 deaths have been reported in the county, 70 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 decreased from 60 to 55. This is down from a peak of 256 on January 13.

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State COVID-19 hospitalizations decreased from 3,673 to 3,595 today. This is down from a peak of 7,763 on January 13.

The state reported 6,014 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 6.82% on a day with a low number of test results) and a net increase of 132 deaths, 36 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in deaths were reported on 42 different dates, going back to July 7.

Changes in the number of deaths by month: July (+1), August (-1), October (-2), December (-3), January (+3-3), February (+126), March (+11)

The first-wave peak was on August 4 (240), and the 7-day moving average peak was August 5 (227). The second-wave peak so far is January 22 (208); the 7-day moving average peak is January 18 (192). These are expected to keep changing.

This chart uses different colors to show how the reported deaths stack up by date:

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), showing the trend over the past 14 days.

This chart shows the trend in positivity rate for Alachua County.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day, which gives an idea of the volume of testing:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 31.6 through yesterday, down from a peak of 188.1 on January 11. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days:

The state has vaccinated a total of 3,174,162 people (1,773,638 have received the complete series). Vaccines were administered first to healthcare and front-line workers, with vaccines being rolled out to people 65 and older now.

Alachua County has vaccinated a total of 47,826 people, over 17.5% of the population (36,332, about 13.5% of the population, have received the complete series).

This chart shows the percentage of the populations of Alachua County and Florida by age that have been vaccinated. 66% of seniors in Alachua County have received at least one dose, and 49% of seniors in Alachua County have received both doses. By comparison, about 53% of the state’s seniors have received at least one dose, with 29% receiving both doses.

  • Greatly appreciate the updates and the statistical analysis you continually provide.

    I find it interesting that the liberal left who have always shouted from the the rooftops, “follow the science!”, are the ones who have continued to choose their “own” science instead of the true scientific results.

    These same individuals have accomplished what hasn’t occurred in a generation.
    1. They took down a president
    2. They brought a booming economy to it’s knees
    3. They managed to provide funding for their own fiscal incompetence

    This same hypocrisy has led to the release of ILLEGAL immigrants who have tested POSITIVE, to be released into the United States on their own recognizance to return for a hearing at a later date. These same “liberal” ideals led to the deaths of 15 people in Southern California who entered the country ILLEGALLY.

    As far as their concerns for the environment, why do these same hypocrites condemn fossil fuels but they don’t know how to turn off a lightbulb when they leave a room? Maybe they are the living example of “the lights are on but nobody’s home.”

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