November 23 update: 56 new positive tests, 1 death


According to the state dashboard, Alachua County reported an increase of 56 positive COVID-19 tests with an official test positivity rate of 4.86%. One new death was reported.

The death was a 75-year-old male who tested positive on October 14. He visited an emergency room and was hospitalized. He was not in long-term care.

Of the people whose positive tests came back yesterday, only 4 were 65 or older (this is the important number to track because those are the people who are more likely to have bad outcomes).

A total of 97 deaths have been reported in the county, 34 of which were in long-term care.

The overall number of people (from all counties) hospitalized here for COVID-19 increased from 90 to 99.

State COVID-19 hospitalizations increased to 3,758 today.

The state reported 6,331 new positive tests (official positivity rate of 7.01%) and a net increase of 94 deaths, 38 of which were from long-term care facilities.

Changes in the number of deaths were reported on 46 different dates, going back to July 13. Changes by month: July (+2), August (+5), September (+14), October (+9), November (+64)

The peaks are on July 30 (235) and August 4 (237), and the 7-day moving average peak is August 5 (226).

The 7-day average plateau between July 25 and August 7 has been stable since I started reporting the peaks on August 27.

Here is the full chart for context:

The state also publishes a chart of the percentage of new tests that are positive by day (this chart is for the whole state), and the official positive rate yesterday was 7.01%.

In Alachua County, the official positivity rate was 4.86%.

This chart shows the number of negative tests reported in Alachua County by day, which gives an idea of the volume of testing:

The 7-day moving average of new cases is at 84.9 through yesterday’s cases. Here is the 7-day average of new cases for the past 14 days:

  • Are they tracking the false positives? I know quite a few people who have had them.

    • All new positives become “cases.” Few cases get removed from the list, but some do, and we never get explanations. If you have age, gender, and the date the test result came back, we may be able to determine whether they’re on the list.

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